prompt

Time-Series Decomposition Brief

Decompose {{metric}} into trend, seasonality, and residual components with business interpretation.

Updated June 2026
The prompt
Analyze the time series for {{metric}} over {{time_period}}:

1. Apply seasonal decomposition (STL or classical method)
2. Quantify:
   - Trend strength (direction, rate of change)
   - Seasonality pattern (amplitude, frequency, phase)
   - Residual variance (noise, unexplained variance)
3. Identify inflection points (anomalies, level shifts)
4. Translate components into business drivers:
   - Trend: underlying growth/decline + external factors
   - Seasonality: user behavior, calendar, campaigns
   - Residual: one-off events, data quality issues
5. Forecast next {{forecast_periods}} with confidence band

Deliver as visual + written narrative.
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Variables

Metric name (e.g. Daily Active Users, Revenue)
Time range (e.g. 'Last 2 years, weekly')
Number of periods to forecast ahead

Details

Author

AI Khazna

License

Security

Type

prompt

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